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Ray Dalio previó la crisis

5 respuestas
Ray Dalio previó la crisis
Ray Dalio previó la crisis
#2

Re: Ray Dalio previó la crisis

No creo que viera venir el coronavirus pero si creo que veía claro todo su equipo de inversión que el punto donde estaban las bolsas eran insostenible. Estoy leyendo ahora mismo su libro Principios y es superinteresante la metodología de trabajo de Bridgewater y sus marcos mentales. 

#4

Re: Ray Dalio previó la crisis

No la predijo, hace solo 2 meses dijo "cash is trash" en el pico y aconsejó apalancarse. Se ha cubierto de gloria, esa frase pasará a la historia.
#5

Re: Ray Dalio previó la crisis

Bridgewater, como sabrás por el libro, tiene la toma de decisiones automatizada mediante algoritmos, así que realmente él y su equipo no "vieron" algo, lo hizo el algoritmo. Por cierto, no tengo nada en contra de las posiciones cortas en un mercado sano, pero aprovechar esta situación no me parece del todo ético. Y encima él, que va de filántropo ... Extraño
#6

Bridgewater pierde un 20%

Pues parece que uno de sus fondos pierde más de un 20% este año. El oro no ha hecho la cobertura que esperaaba viendo una de las últimas inversiones que había comentado Dalio. 

(Bloomberg) --

Ray Dalio’s macro fund dropped about 20% this year as the billionaire fund manager found himself on the wrong side of a market rout caused by the escalating coronavirus pandemic.

Bridgewater Associates’ Pure Alpha Fund II tumbled roughly 13% this month through Thursday, according to people familiar with its performance, following an 8% drop in the first two months of the year. The firm manages about $160 billion, with about half in its Pure Alpha macro strategy.

It’s not known how Bridgewater performed through the end of the week. U.S. stocks jumped the most since 2008 on Friday, gaining more than 9% as President Donald Trump declared a national emergency to help combat the virus. Oil climbed, Treasury yields rose and gold fell.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 index was down 23% this year through Thursday as the virus spread accelerated and Russia and Saudi Arabia ignited an oil price war.

The Bridgewater founder offered a fairly rosy outlook for markets as recently as last month. Dalio said in mid-February that investor concerns over the virus “probably had a bit of an exaggerated effect on the pricing of assets because of the temporary nature of that, so I would expect more of a rebound.” He later issued a statement clarifying his remarks.

In January, Dalio had urged investors to get off the sidelines and benefit from strong markets, telling CNBC in an interview, “Cash is trash.”

Bridgewater’s worst month on record for the Pure Alpha II strategy was a 10.5% drop in April 2008. Even so, it ended that year up 9.4%.

Since 2011, the Westport, Connecticut-based firm has found it harder to make money, posting averaging low-single digit returns. In 2019, Pure Alpha II lost money for the first time in two decades, declining 0.5%.

A representative for Bridgewater declined to comment.

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