Re: Farmas USA
Calentando a ARNA: http://seekingalpha.com/article/1167551-arena-s-recent-outperform-call-and-a-probability-weighted-valuation?source=email_rt_article_readmore
"My estimate: Scenario 1 of $4.15 (25% probability) * Scenario 2 of $60.50 (60% probability) * Scenario 3 of $141.18 (15% probability) = weighted PPS 2015 target of $58.52
If you are more bullish, you could adjust the percentages as follows: Scenario 1 of $4.15 (10% probability) * Scenario 2 of $60.50 (60% probability) * Scenario 3 of $141.18 (30% probability) = weighted PPS 2015 target of $79.07
The more bearish could adjust as follows: Scenario 1 of $4.15 (80% probability) * Scenario 2 of $60.50 (15% probability) * Scenario 3 of $141.18 (5% probability) = weighted PPS 2015 target of $19.45"
«Después de nada, o después de todo/ supe que todo no era más que nada.»